Collective2 Collective2
Featured Strategy SILVER ETF TRADER +32.4% Annual Return (Compounded) since May 2, 2023 Hypothetical

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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more
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One moment Tom
(138979623)

Created by: QuantWizard QuantWizard
Started: 01/2022
Futures
Last trade: 6 days ago
Trading style: Futures Momentum

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $199.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Futures
Momentum
Category: Equity

Momentum

Aims to capitalize on the continuance of existing trends in the market. Trader takes a long position in an asset in an upward trend, and short-sells a security that has been in a downward trend. While similar to Trend-following, tends to be more forward-looking (predicting oncoming trend), while Momentum is more backward-looking (observing already-established price direction).
32.8%
Annual Return (Compounded)

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return is calculated

= ((Ending_equity / Starting_equity) ^ (1 / age_in_years)) - 1

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(55.1%)
Max Drawdown
1085
Num Trades
37.6%
Win Trades
1.2 : 1
Profit Factor
64.7%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022+6.0%+0.1%+47.0%(27.4%)(5.4%)+6.8%+45.9%(7.8%)(27.3%)+20.3%+11.8%(28.7%)+7.6%
2023+52.6%+14.7%+8.9%+2.0%(2.2%)+7.8%(7.5%)+3.1%(7.5%)+1.2%(0.2%)+4.5%+91.1%
2024+3.0%+1.9%+6.9%+6.8%(3.3%)(4.4%)+1.1%(6.5%)+0.9%+1.8%            +7.6%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 956 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. The most recent trade in a real-money brokerage account occurred more than 140 days ago.

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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQuantAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
10/25/24 9:35 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 2 5876.75 10/25 10:55 5892.00 0.01%
Trade id #149829866
Max drawdown($7)
Time10/25/24 9:39
Quant open2
Worst price5876.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
 $151
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.88
10/25/24 9:35 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 3 20596.08 10/25 10:50 20657.25 0.01%
Trade id #149829870
Max drawdown($5)
Time10/25/24 9:40
Quant open1
Worst price20545.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
 $364
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.82
10/24/24 15:31 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 20393.00 10/24 15:55 20390.75 0.07%
Trade id #149821964
Max drawdown($38)
Time10/24/24 15:43
Quant open1
Worst price20373.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
 ($6)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
10/22/24 15:40 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 2 5895.75 10/22 15:55 5898.75 0%
Trade id #149799049
Max drawdown($2)
Time10/22/24 15:50
Quant open2
Worst price5895.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
 $28
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.88
10/18/24 15:30 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 20488.75 10/18 15:35 20477.50 0.05%
Trade id #149698729
Max drawdown($25)
Time10/18/24 15:35
Quant open1
Worst price20476.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
 ($24)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
10/18/24 15:30 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 2 5905.25 10/18 15:35 5903.25 0.05%
Trade id #149698727
Max drawdown($25)
Time10/18/24 15:35
Quant open2
Worst price5902.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
 ($22)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.88
10/18/24 12:35 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 9 5904.75 10/18 15:25 5907.31 0.35%
Trade id #149697224
Max drawdown($192)
Time10/18/24 14:01
Quant open7
Worst price5899.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.35%
 $107
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.46
10/18/24 15:01 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 3 20487.00 10/18 15:05 20482.50 0.11%
Trade id #149698394
Max drawdown($60)
Time10/18/24 15:04
Quant open3
Worst price20477.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.11%
 ($30)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.82
10/18/24 12:20 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 6 20456.25 10/18 14:55 20494.04 0.05%
Trade id #149697096
Max drawdown($27)
Time10/18/24 14:01
Quant open3
Worst price20451.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
 $448
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.64
10/18/24 9:50 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 5 20476.60 10/18 12:15 20452.25 0.63%
Trade id #149694785
Max drawdown($343)
Time10/18/24 12:15
Quant open5
Worst price20442.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.63%
 ($249)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
10/18/24 11:30 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 9 5904.00 10/18 11:35 5901.25 0.35%
Trade id #149695811
Max drawdown($191)
Time10/18/24 11:35
Quant open9
Worst price5899.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.35%
 ($132)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.46
10/16/24 14:45 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 2 5889.00 10/16 15:35 5888.75 0.07%
Trade id #149676809
Max drawdown($37)
Time10/16/24 15:02
Quant open2
Worst price5885.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
 ($5)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.88
10/15/24 9:55 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 8 5912.25 10/15 10:00 5907.75 0.44%
Trade id #149662467
Max drawdown($240)
Time10/15/24 9:59
Quant open8
Worst price5906.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.44%
 ($188)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.52
10/14/24 15:30 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 2 5910.75 10/14 15:55 5909.25 0.03%
Trade id #149656254
Max drawdown($17)
Time10/14/24 15:53
Quant open2
Worst price5909.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
 ($17)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.88
10/14/24 15:05 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 4 5909.00 10/14 15:25 5910.00 0.05%
Trade id #149656088
Max drawdown($25)
Time10/14/24 15:11
Quant open4
Worst price5907.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
 $16
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.76
10/14/24 10:25 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 8 5901.69 10/14 15:00 5905.38 0.95%
Trade id #149652638
Max drawdown($517)
Time10/14/24 11:01
Quant open8
Worst price5888.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.95%
 $140
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.52
10/11/24 14:15 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 4 20464.06 10/11 15:50 20471.94 0.42%
Trade id #149641414
Max drawdown($230)
Time10/11/24 14:39
Quant open3
Worst price20422.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.42%
 $59
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.76
10/11/24 13:40 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 4 5855.25 10/11 15:50 5864.75 0.1%
Trade id #149640946
Max drawdown($55)
Time10/11/24 14:38
Quant open4
Worst price5852.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.10%
 $186
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.76
10/11/24 11:10 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 4 5860.12 10/11 12:30 5853.50 0.22%
Trade id #149638758
Max drawdown($122)
Time10/11/24 12:13
Quant open4
Worst price5854.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.22%
 ($137)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.76
10/11/24 11:10 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 20451.25 10/11 12:25 20440.25 0.17%
Trade id #149638760
Max drawdown($91)
Time10/11/24 11:20
Quant open1
Worst price20405.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.17%
 ($23)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
10/11/24 10:20 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 20448.50 10/11 10:45 20434.75 0.06%
Trade id #149638172
Max drawdown($32)
Time10/11/24 10:45
Quant open1
Worst price20432.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
 ($29)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
10/11/24 9:35 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 4 5832.75 10/11 10:40 5863.75 0.06%
Trade id #149637391
Max drawdown($35)
Time10/11/24 9:40
Quant open2
Worst price5829.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
 $616
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.76
10/9/24 11:50 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 2 5837.50 10/9 12:25 5832.00 0.19%
Trade id #149618455
Max drawdown($102)
Time10/9/24 12:20
Quant open2
Worst price5827.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.19%
 ($57)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.88
9/25/24 9:55 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 5 5794.35 9/25 10:30 5788.00 0.3%
Trade id #149502321
Max drawdown($165)
Time9/25/24 10:30
Quant open5
Worst price5787.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.30%
 ($164)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
9/25/24 9:35 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 3 5795.25 9/25 9:50 5792.50 0.2%
Trade id #149501958
Max drawdown($108)
Time9/25/24 9:42
Quant open3
Worst price5788.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.20%
 ($44)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.82
9/24/24 15:45 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 5 5785.75 9/24 15:55 5785.25 0.1%
Trade id #149497533
Max drawdown($56)
Time9/24/24 15:55
Quant open5
Worst price5783.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.10%
 ($18)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
9/24/24 15:05 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 5 5785.20 9/24 15:35 5784.00 0.1%
Trade id #149497233
Max drawdown($55)
Time9/24/24 15:35
Quant open5
Worst price5783.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.10%
 ($35)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
9/24/24 12:35 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 3 5786.75 9/24 13:00 5783.25 0.13%
Trade id #149495164
Max drawdown($71)
Time9/24/24 13:00
Quant open3
Worst price5782.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
 ($56)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.82
9/24/24 12:00 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 5 5787.05 9/24 12:30 5783.75 0.24%
Trade id #149494796
Max drawdown($132)
Time9/24/24 12:26
Quant open5
Worst price5781.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.24%
 ($88)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
9/24/24 11:45 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 3 20148.50 9/24 12:30 20192.17 0.07%
Trade id #149493873
Max drawdown($36)
Time9/24/24 11:48
Quant open3
Worst price20142.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
 $259
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.82
Next

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    1/17/2022
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $60,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    1017.53
  • Age
    34 months ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    1085
  • # Profitable
    408
  • % Profitable
    37.60%
  • Avg trade duration
    8.4 hours
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    55.11%
  • drawdown period
    April 05, 2022 - May 12, 2022
  • Annual Return (Compounded)
    32.8%
  • Avg win
    $628.71
  • Avg loss
    $314.68
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $68,496
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $68,496
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.20:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    0.68
  • Sortino Ratio
    1.08
  • Calmar Ratio
    0.873
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    96.47%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.43160
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    22.36%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    32.8%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    12.70%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    1.00%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.18%
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.328%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    43.5%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    74.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    45.00%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    32.50%
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    9.50%
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    2.50%
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    99.83%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    7.00%
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    400
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    889
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    953
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    700
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $315
  • Avg Win
    $629
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $213,040.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    34
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $256,514.000
  • # Winners
    408
  • Num Months Winners
    22
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    677
  • % Winners
    37.6%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    506.28
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    8.44
  • Avg Trade Length
    0.4 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    6
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    4.01
  • Daily leverage (max)
    12.83
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.08
  • Beta
    1.11
  • Treynor Index
    0.09
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.01
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.92
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    -37.792
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.292
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.314
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    -0.026
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.48050
  • SD
    0.52447
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.91616
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.89449
  • df
    32.00000
  • t
    1.51928
  • p
    0.06926
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.29355
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.11214
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.30756
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.09654
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.53172
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    2.79651
  • Upside part of mean
    0.87726
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.39676
  • Upside SD
    0.43309
  • Downside SD
    0.31370
  • N nonnegative terms
    23.00000
  • N negative terms
    10.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    33.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.06544
  • Mean of criterion
    0.48050
  • SD of predictor
    0.16309
  • SD of criterion
    0.52447
  • Covariance
    0.04678
  • r
    0.54688
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.75870
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.36541
  • Mean Square Error
    0.19902
  • DF error
    31.00000
  • t(b)
    3.63692
  • p(b)
    0.00050
  • t(a)
    1.34901
  • p(a)
    0.09355
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.77246
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.74494
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.18704
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.91786
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.27321
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.36541
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.33582
  • SD
    0.54142
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.62026
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.60559
  • df
    32.00000
  • t
    1.02858
  • p
    0.15570
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.57603
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.80708
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.58559
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.79676
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    0.87925
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    2.08247
  • Upside part of mean
    0.79538
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.45956
  • Upside SD
    0.38442
  • Downside SD
    0.38194
  • N nonnegative terms
    23.00000
  • N negative terms
    10.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    33.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.05207
  • Mean of criterion
    0.33582
  • SD of predictor
    0.16514
  • SD of criterion
    0.54142
  • Covariance
    0.05395
  • r
    0.60342
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.97831
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.23282
  • Mean Square Error
    0.19241
  • DF error
    31.00000
  • t(b)
    4.21323
  • p(b)
    0.00010
  • t(a)
    0.87642
  • p(a)
    0.19377
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.02066
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.93596
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.30897
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.77460
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.16975
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.23282
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.20475
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.25381
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.05154
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.12241
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    33.00000
  • Minimum
    0.59405
  • Quartile 1
    0.98542
  • Median
    1.03048
  • Quartile 3
    1.08875
  • Maximum
    1.32951
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.88145
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00976
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.06114
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.23724
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.10333
  • Number outliers low
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.09091
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.72726
  • Number of outliers high
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.09091
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.32151
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.85789
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.09755
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.77271
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.70683
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.15526
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.64536
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    5.00000
  • Minimum
    0.01738
  • Quartile 1
    0.07366
  • Median
    0.10197
  • Quartile 3
    0.36997
  • Maximum
    0.40595
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.04552
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.10197
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.36997
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.40595
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.29631
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.62508
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.43868
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    1.08065
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    1.08065
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    1.72843
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.41930
  • SD
    0.40952
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.02388
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.02282
  • df
    725.00000
  • t
    1.70438
  • p
    0.04437
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.15507
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.20213
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.15577
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.20141
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.62975
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    7.63906
  • Upside part of mean
    1.96536
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.54606
  • Upside SD
    0.31930
  • Downside SD
    0.25728
  • N nonnegative terms
    260.00000
  • N negative terms
    466.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    726.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.06748
  • Mean of criterion
    0.41930
  • SD of predictor
    0.17764
  • SD of criterion
    0.40952
  • Covariance
    0.03169
  • r
    0.43558
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.00417
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.35200
  • Mean Square Error
    0.13608
  • DF error
    724.00000
  • t(b)
    13.02030
  • p(b)
    0.00000
  • t(a)
    1.58591
  • p(a)
    0.05660
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.85276
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.15558
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.08364
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.78672
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.41756
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.35154
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.33583
  • SD
    0.40775
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.82363
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.82278
  • df
    725.00000
  • t
    1.37104
  • p
    0.08539
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.35481
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.00155
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.35540
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.00095
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.25267
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    7.14931
  • Upside part of mean
    1.91667
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.58084
  • Upside SD
    0.30755
  • Downside SD
    0.26809
  • N nonnegative terms
    260.00000
  • N negative terms
    466.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    726.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.05170
  • Mean of criterion
    0.33583
  • SD of predictor
    0.17776
  • SD of criterion
    0.40775
  • Covariance
    0.03130
  • r
    0.43180
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.99045
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.28463
  • Mean Square Error
    0.13545
  • DF error
    724.00000
  • t(b)
    12.88120
  • p(b)
    0.00000
  • t(a)
    1.28719
  • p(a)
    0.09922
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.83949
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.14141
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.14949
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.71874
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.33907
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.28463
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.03936
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.04937
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01566
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03290
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    726.00000
  • Minimum
    0.81385
  • Quartile 1
    0.99658
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00540
  • Maximum
    1.17648
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97754
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99919
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00100
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02908
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00882
  • Number outliers low
    79.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.10881
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.95969
  • Number of outliers high
    88.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.12121
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.04834
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.55680
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01681
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.04521
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.22372
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01898
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.03376
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    29.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00035
  • Quartile 1
    0.00881
  • Median
    0.01638
  • Quartile 3
    0.06184
  • Maximum
    0.50254
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00407
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01412
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.03319
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.18811
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.05303
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.06897
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.44120
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.76357
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.20959
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.89183
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    1.36254
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.13003
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.62789
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.43870
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    0.87297
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    2.33214
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    8.88502
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.12735
  • SD
    0.11942
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -1.06641
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -1.06025
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    -0.75407
  • p
    0.53300
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -3.83919
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.71036
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -3.83505
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.71455
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -1.37910
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    4.76184
  • Upside part of mean
    0.43974
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.56710
  • Upside SD
    0.07541
  • Downside SD
    0.09235
  • N nonnegative terms
    29.00000
  • N negative terms
    102.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.27460
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.12735
  • SD of predictor
    0.12786
  • SD of criterion
    0.11942
  • Covariance
    0.00198
  • r
    0.12965
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.12109
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.16061
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01413
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    1.48506
  • p(b)
    0.41769
  • t(a)
    -0.94699
  • p(a)
    0.55283
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.04024
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.28243
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.49616
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.17495
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -1.05170
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.16061
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.13449
  • SD
    0.11992
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -1.12149
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -1.11501
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    -0.79301
  • p
    0.53469
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -3.89459
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.65572
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -3.89012
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.66011
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -1.43866
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    4.67335
  • Upside part of mean
    0.43688
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.57137
  • Upside SD
    0.07484
  • Downside SD
    0.09348
  • N nonnegative terms
    29.00000
  • N negative terms
    102.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.26630
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.13449
  • SD of predictor
    0.12809
  • SD of criterion
    0.11992
  • Covariance
    0.00197
  • r
    0.12805
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.11989
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.16642
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01425
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    1.46648
  • p(b)
    0.41870
  • t(a)
    -0.97750
  • p(a)
    0.55452
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.03900
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.04186
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.28164
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.50325
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.17042
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -1.12181
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.16642
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01262
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01567
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00648
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01326
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.96306
  • Quartile 1
    0.99844
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00000
  • Maximum
    1.02165
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.99201
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99972
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.00676
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00156
  • Number outliers low
    21.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.16031
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.98886
  • Number of outliers high
    21.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.16031
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.01030
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.60635
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00728
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.02109
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.45360
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00747
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.01664
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    2.00000
  • Minimum
    0.05844
  • Quartile 1
    0.06827
  • Median
    0.07809
  • Quartile 3
    0.08792
  • Maximum
    0.09774
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.05844
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.09774
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01965
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.25%
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -370404000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    37
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    -0.10379
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    -0.10110
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    -1.03439
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    -1.03439
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    -6.45278

Strategy Description

Details on: www.quant-wizard.com

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2022-01-17
Suggested Minimum Capital
$60,000
Rank at C2 %
Top 4.7%
Rank # 
#35
# Trades
1085
# Profitable
408
% Profitable
37.6%
Correlation S&P500
0.432
Sharpe Ratio
0.68
Sortino Ratio
1.08
Beta
1.11
Alpha
0.08
Leverage
4.01 Average
12.83 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.